Friday, October 26, 2007

SEC Week 9 Predictions

Sorry, but it's been a busy week. I'll have to make these quick...

Auburn 27 Ole Miss 10
Will probably be close for a half. But, I don't expect Ole Miss to move the ball much. Kodi Burns needs to see some action Saturday.

Kentucky 33 Miss. St. 10
The 'Cats continue their miraculous season with a dominating home win vs. the Bulldogs.

Vandy 23 Miami(Ohio) 13
Critical game for the 'Dores if they're going to make a bowl game for the 1st time in 25 years.

Arkansas 40 Florida Intl. 6
No comment.

Florida 24 UGAy 16
UGA's had an off-week to prepare for this game. But at this point, the Gators have more at stake. UF has won 16 of their last 18 meetings. And, I don't see this one stopping the trend.

***UPSET SPECIAL***
Tennessee 28 S. Carolina 26
The Vols are back home and ready to avenge their massacre at Tuscaloosa. Spurrier will bring his bag of tricks. But, the Vols are clearly a better team at home.

Tuesday, October 23, 2007

Be Careful What You Wish For...

Auburn lost a heartbreaker in Baton Rouge while the Bama offense was relentless against a mediocre UT defense. Last week was by far my worst week of predictions, missing 3 out of 6. That brings my total down to 49-13 (79%).


The AU-LSU game was an epic battle that came to the wire. Another interesting side note is the fact that the futures of each head coach, according to rumor, are questionable for next year. Both Miles and Tubs are winning coaches who seem to be at the top of 2 other programs' lists, Michigan and Texas A&M. Personally, I think the best way to measure a coach's performance is whether his program is better off now than it was when he arrived. It would've been difficult for Miles to improve on Saban's success. However, he seems to keep LSU near the nation's elite. As for Tommy, it's easy to see his progress at Auburn taking over a 3-8 team to an undefeated season and perennial SEC powerhouse.

But, if you take a closer look at the LSU program, you will notice the abundance of key performers that are seniors, i.e. Saban's recruits. I was astonished to count 15 starters from the Saban era that were on the field for Miles Saturday. It's safe to say there will be a large dropoff next year in that program. But, I'm not sure Miles will be around to see it.

I went to a Michigan-Penn St. game earlier this year while the stunning losses of App. St. and Oregon were still fresh on the Michigan fans' minds. It was interesting to see that Les Miles, former Michigan player, was easily at the top of their list. See pic above. I say be careful what you wish for. I'm not a big Les fan, not because his team just beat Auburn, but rather for the reckless calls he seems to make during critical game moments. His 4th down conversions against Florida were crazy to say the least. Then came the bomb in the endzone with 1 second left Sat. night. That was really a call against the odds. After the game, he stated that he wasn't worried because there was 16 seconds left on the clock when they snapped the ball. I'm not sure if he was watching the same game I was because it was 7 seconds left with only 1 remaining after the catch. All I'm saying is the odds will soon catch up with ol' Les. And, I'd hate to see it happen anywhere other than LSU.

Oh yeah, and thanks to my goofball friend who got me a ticket to the Big House.

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Week 7 Review & SEC Week 8 Predictions

Dropped 1 game last week, LSU/UK. That was a thriller. Unfortunately for Auburn, that may have awakened a sleeping giant. I'm adding a new format to my picks this week noting the favored team in parentheses. With my 1 loss last week, my record is now 46-10 (82.1%).

Alabama 27, Ole Miss 24
Georgia 20, Vanderbilt 17
Tennessee 33, Mississippi State 21
South Carolina 21, North Carolina 15
Auburn 9, Arkansas 7
*Kentucky 43, LSU 37 (3OT)

On to Week 8...
LSU 17 (10.5) vs. Auburn 16
I expect this to be a slobber-knocker. Coach Tuberville is 5-0 against top 5 teams during his career at AU. However, LSU will be playing a late night game in front of their well-inebriated fans. Coming off the heart-breaker to UK, I believe the Bungled Tigers will be extremely focused. This should be another classic games between these 2 SEC West powerhouses.

UT 24 (even) at UAt 20
Phat Phil will bring an explosive offense into Bryant-Denny for this early morning showdown. I just doubt their D will allow them to pull away. This game is usually not high-scoring. But, I wouldn't doubt it if it finishes well into the 30s.

Florida 35 (7) at Kentucky 31
I expect another barn-burner this weekend in Lexington. Man, has this been a great year for Kentucky football! Who would've believed that 5 years ago. I think this is the week the dream meets a little reality. I hope the 'Cats can pull it out. But, I think they may be a bit less focused after their epic win of then-#1 LSU last week. Florida had the week off last week and is ready to get things back on track.

West Virginia 33 (24) vs. Miss. St. 13
MSU's only hope is for its defense and/or special teams to outscore its offense. This could get ugly if their D doesn't keep them in the game.

S. Carolina 23 (13.5) at Vandy 14
Another moral victory for the Commodores. Such high hopes for Vandy to start the season. Alas, they've returned to form with another bowl-less season. Should be a typically close game until the 'Cocks where them down in the 2nd half.

***UPSET SPECIAL***
Ole Miss 27 vs. Arkansas 24 (5)
This is a match of SEC winless teams. If the Rebels don't win this weekend, it's quite possible they may not win 1 SEC game the whole year. I expect the home team to bring their best game after a tough loss to Bama last weekend. If the Ole Miss D can somehow contain the Hogs' running game, that should be enough for their offense to pull this one out.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Week 6 Review & SEC Week 7 Predictions

Dropped 2 picks last week. What's up with Ole Ms.? I never thought they'd blank La Tech. Auburn continued to improve. Not sure what Bama's deal is. That was a blowout, then almost lost it. Reminded me of Shula ball. That being said, I'm now 41-9 (82%).

Auburn 35, Vanderbilt 7
Alabama 30, Houston 24
South Carolina 38, Kentucky 23
Arkansas 34, Chattanooga 15
LSU 28, Florida 24
Mississippi State 30, UAB 13
*Ole Miss 24, Louisiana Tech 0
*Tennessee 35, Georgia 14

On to Week 7...
Alabummer 24 Ole Sis 23
With the way the Rebels have been playing lately, they should win this type of game at home. But, my gut tells me $aban will rally the troops and put in a few wrinkles to pull this one out. The Big 'O' rips his shirt off in protest at midfield after the game.

UGA 27 Vandy 14
For some reason, Vandy gives UGA a hard time, even beating them in Athens last year. I have a feeling though the puppies will return the favor this year. Vandy cannot pass the football. Until they can, everyone will stack up to stop their running game.

LSU 37 Kentucky 20
The last time LSU played in Lexington, they pulled off a last second upset against the Sabanator dubbed "The Bluegrass Miracle". Another miracle is what these kitties will need to win again. LSU has a stout D that should stymie UK's offense. It may be interesting for 3 quarters. But, I expect the Cajuns to wear out UK's D.

UT 28 MSU 20
This is a big game for Croom's dogs. They actually have a good shot at pulling this off at home. Unfortunately, UT cannot afford to take them lightly. And, it looks like the Vols took it up a notch last week whipping the other pups from Athens. Can you believe this game is not on TV?

S. Carolina 27 N. Carolina 26
UNC put up some impressive numbers last week beating down Miami. This game would be a milestone for Butch Davis beating the ol' Ball Coach, Spurrier. Could go either way. But, I'll go with the favorite in a tight one.

***UPSET SPECIAL***
Auburn 31 Arkansas 23
The piggies are a slight favorite, but it's pretty evenly matched. Unfortunately for both teams, they'll be missing some key players, i.e. M. Monk & Q. Groves. Auburn, however, has seemed to figure things out the past couple weeks. Unless the Tigers turn the ball over, I expect our success in the white jerseys to continue. The key matchup in this game is Auburn's run defense vs. Arkansas' dominant rushing attack. If our secondary is making a lot of tackles, it could be a repeat of last year's Arkansas beat down.

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Week 5 Review & SEC Week 6 Predictions

Well, it's been a great week to be an AU fan. When you count them out, that's when they usually play a great game. Coach Tuberville is 5-0 vs. top 5 teams as Auburn's head coach. Wonder if LSU will be worried. As far as my picks, fittingly, my only miss was Auburn. But, I did get their points right. :-) I've missed on 3 games involving AU this year. That's almost half my miss total. With last week, I'm now 35-7 (83.3%).

*Auburn 20, Florida 17
Florida State 21, Alabama 14
Arkansas 66, North Texas 7
Georgia 45, Ole Miss 17
Kentucky 45, Florida Atlantic 17
LSU 34, Tulane 9
South Carolina 38, Mississippi State 21
Vanderbilt 30, Eastern Michigan 7

On to Week 6...
Auburn 21 Vandy 13
I came very close to picking this the other way. AU has traditionally done terrible with early kickoffs. I know Vandy is looking for a big win to propel them to their 1st bowl game since '82. And, I haven't been very accurate picking AU this year. I hope I don't jinx them.

UAt 35 Houston 24
If Jessica Parker Wilson doesn't bring his 'A' game, Bama could slip up against the Cougars. Houston has a potent offense. I just doubt they can stop the Tide.

S. Carolina 38 Kentucky 30
This will be a great Thursday night game. I think this is the best UK team I've seen in my lifetime. I'll be rooting for the 'Cats. But, I've got a feeling Coach Spurrier will coach his team up in front of the home crowd. Listen for the Rooster Crows in the background. It'll begin to annoy you.

Arkansas 40 Chattanooga 10
Tune-up for the Hogs before AU's visit next weekend.

LSU 30 Florida 20
I have a feeling the Gaytors will be fired up after losing a heart-breaker to AU last weekend. But, LSU will eventually wear them down. I expect a close game for at least 3 quarters.

UGA 31 UT 27
Mark Richt's road record has been phenomenal. I think he's lost like 2 or 3 games on the road since he's been the coach at UGA. UT is not a very good defensive team. And UGA tends to play well in Knoxville. Should be a good game though.

MSU 27 UAB 14
The Dawgs need this win to keep their postseason hopes alive. With UT coming to town next week, UAB could pull off a win against an uninspired MSU team.

***UPSET SPECIAL***
La Tech 34 Ole Miss 30
This could really go either way. After narrowly losing to undefeated Hawaii, I believe the Bulldogs are a hungry team. This could ease the pain of some missed opportunities. Ole Miss has Bama at home next week and could be looking ahead. I don't think this is a good matchup for Ole Miss. It could turn into a shootout.